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基于层次分析法的生态敏感海岛开发决策研究——以江苏沿海地区发展规划环评为例
周家艳1, 李 冰1, 黄夏银1, 高 鸣1, 王 水1
江苏省环境科学研究院
摘要:
针对生态敏感型海岛开发难以决策, 特别是无法定量的难题, 首次采用层次分析法, 综合考虑经济效益、社会效益、生态环境影响三方面因素, 建立4 层10 指标2 方案综合决策系统, 并将其应用于江苏沿海开发规划环评的前三岛、西太阳沙开发决策研究中。结果表明, 该决策系统能够客观体现系统要素的全面影响, 具有一定的科学性和实用价值, 对沿海开发中各类生态敏感海岛及沙洲的开发决策具有重要的指导意义。
关键词:  层次分析法  海岛  开发决策  规划环评
DOI:
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基金项目:江苏省自然科学基金项目(BK2009454)
Development decision of ecologically sensitive island based on analytic hierarchy process——A case on environmental impact assessment of development planning in Jiangsu coastal areas
Abstract:
To make the decision of ecologically sensitive island development easier, a comprehensive evaluation system was established using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP). In this system, the impacts of economic, social, and ecological environmental were considered, and 10 indicators on four levels were constructed to produce two action plans.Using the system, we investigated the development decision of Qiansandao Island and Xitaiyangsha Cay. The results showed that the system could reflect the impact of various elements. The results had an important significance for decision of ecologically sensitive island development.
Key words:  analytic hierarchy process  island  decision of the exploitation  plan environmental impact assessment
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