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海洋环境中平台钢腐蚀速率的三层BP 神经网络预测
兰志刚1,2,3, 侯保荣1, 白 刚4, 宋积文2, 陈胜利2, 谭 震2, 张 杰2
1.中国科学院海洋研究所;2.中海油能源发展股份有限公司北京分公司;3.中国科学院研究生院;4.中海油有限公司工程建设部
摘要:
利用三层BP 神经网络预测海洋环境因素对材料的腐蚀速率的影响。结合实测的pH 值、温度、溶解氧、盐度、生物附着等影响因素, 分析了上述环境因素对平台钢腐蚀的影响, 建立环境因素与腐蚀速率之间的映射关系, 预测了平台钢在海洋环境中的腐蚀速率。结果表明, 全浸区腐蚀速率预测误差为6.95%, 潮差带腐蚀速率预测误差为4.2%, 预测精度较高。说明利用三层BP 神经网络预测钢在海水中腐蚀速率技术可行, 具有较高的预测精度和应用价值。
关键词:  腐蚀因素  腐蚀速率预测  BP 神经网络  海洋环境腐蚀预测
DOI:
分类号:
基金项目:海洋石油总公司综合科研项目
Prediction of effects of marine environmental factors on steel corrosion rates with three-layer BP neural network
Abstract:
We introduced the methodology to study relationship between steel corrosion and marine environmental factors and to predict of steel corrosion rates with three-layer BP neural network. With the in situ measurements of pHs, water temperatures, dissolved oxygen, salinities and bio-fouling, the effects of marine environmental factors on steel corrosion were analyzed and sorted in a descending sequence. With a three-layer BP neural network, the corrosion rates of steel in seawater were predicted with an error of 6.95% in submerged zones and 4.2% in tidal zones. The results show that prediction with the neural network was feasible, producing good prediction accuracy and value.
Key words:  corrosion factors  prediction of corrosion rate  three-layer BP neural network  prediction of corrosion on marine environmental
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